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Real Results

50+Veteran Dems recruited in 2018
41House seats flipped
8 ptsGallego outperformed Harris (AZ 2024)

The Warrior Democrat strategy isn’t theory—it’s a proven electoral formula with a decade of wins. From the 2018 Blue Wave that delivered the House majority to Ruben Gallego’s stunning 2024 Senate victory in Trump-won Arizona, veteran candidates consistently overperform in swing districts and states.

These aren’t symbolic candidates or token recruits. They’re Marines who led combat patrols in Fallujah. Army Rangers who deployed to Afghanistan. Navy pilots who flew missions in the Middle East. CIA analysts who briefed presidents. And they’re winning in places Democrats aren’t supposed to win.

Featured Winners: The Blueprint Candidates

Ruben Gallego

U.S. Senator, Arizona | Marine Corps Veteran, Iraq War

The Story

Raised by a single mother in Chicago after his father abandoned the family, Ruben Gallego grew up on food stamps and in Section 8 housing. His mother, a Colombian immigrant, worked multiple jobs to support four kids. Gallego earned a scholarship to Harvard, graduated in 2004, and immediately enlisted in the Marine Corps—walking away from lucrative job offers to serve his country.

In 2005, Corporal Gallego deployed to Iraq with Lima Company, 3rd Battalion, 25th Marines—one of the hardest-hit Marine reserve units of the war. His unit suffered 48 casualties, including 22 killed in action. Gallego served as a machine gunner in urban combat operations in Fallujah and ar-Rutbah, earning the Iraq Campaign Medal and Navy & Marine Corps Achievement Medal.

After returning home, Gallego became a veterans advocate and entered Arizona politics: State House (2010), U.S. House (2014), and U.S. Senate (2024). His Senate campaign ran on border security, veterans issues, and economic populism—positioning as a moderate while Trump ally Kari Lake ran to the far right.

The Results

2.4%
Victory Margin (80,000+ votes)
8 pts
Outperformed Kamala Harris in Arizona
#1
Largest Senate overperformance vs. Harris in 2024

Trump won Arizona by 5.5%. Gallego won anyway. He flipped enough Trump voters and independents to overcome a 185,000-vote deficit at the top of the ticket.

Campaign Strategy That Worked

  • “Veterans for Gallego” coalition — Featured Gold Star families, retired generals, and fellow Iraq/Afghanistan vets in ads
  • First Spanish-language border security ad — Positioned as tough on immigration, undercutting GOP attacks
  • Refused to go negative on Trump — Focused on Kari Lake’s extremism instead, winning Trump-Gallego voters
  • Marine identity front and center — Every ad, every speech, every interview mentioned Iraq service

Tim Walz

Vice Presidential Nominee 2024, Governor of Minnesota | Army National Guard Veteran

The Story

A teacher and football coach from rural Nebraska, Tim Walz enlisted in the Army National Guard at 17 and served for 24 years, retiring in 2005 as a Command Sergeant Major—one of the highest enlisted ranks in the U.S. military. His service included disaster relief, overseas deployments in support of Operation Enduring Freedom, and training future soldiers.

After retiring from the Guard, Walz continued teaching in Mankato, Minnesota, where he sponsored the first gay-straight alliance at his high school in rural Minnesota—a move that required courage in a conservative community. In 2006, he ran for Congress in Minnesota’s 1st District, a Republican seat that Bush won by 8 points in 2004.

Walz won by 6 points, flipping the district blue. He held the seat for 12 years, became the ranking member of the Veterans Affairs Committee, and never lost touch with his rural, working-class roots. In 2018, he ran for governor and won. In 2024, Kamala Harris chose him as her running mate—the first enlisted service member on a major party ticket since 1952.

The Results

6 pts
Flipped GOP House seat in 2006
12 years
Held rural swing district
VP nominee
First enlisted vet since 1952

Walz proved veterans can win and hold Trump country. Minnesota’s 1st District went for Trump by 10+ points in 2016—after Walz left.

What Made Walz Work

  • Coach and teacher identity — Relatable to working families, softened “military guy” stereotype
  • Gun owner who supports gun safety — Threads the needle in rural districts where Dems struggle
  • “Mind your own damn business” framing — Midwestern populism that appeals to independents
  • 24 years of service — Unimpeachable credentials, impossible to swift-boat

The 2018 Blueprint: How Veteran Democrats Took the House

In 2018, Democratic recruiters deployed a simple strategy: find veterans willing to run in swing districts, fund them well, and let their service speak for itself. The DCCC, VoteVets, and New Politics PAC recruited over 50 veteran candidates. The result? 41 House seats flipped from red to blue, delivering Democrats their first majority since 2010.

Veteran candidates didn’t just win—they overperformed non-veteran Democrats by an average of 3-5 points in swing districts. Here are three of the most important wins:

Jason Crow
Colorado 6th District
U.S. Army Ranger | Iraq & Afghanistan
Won by 11 points in district Trump nearly carried

An Army Ranger with three combat deployments, Crow defeated a five-term GOP incumbent in suburban Denver. His campaign centered on healthcare and veterans issues, with his Ranger tab front and center. He’s now in his fourth term.

Mikie Sherrill
New Jersey 11th District
U.S. Navy Pilot | Russia & Mediterranean
Won by 14 points in GOP-held suburban seat

A former Navy helicopter pilot and federal prosecutor, Sherrill flipped a suburban New Jersey district that had been Republican for decades. She flew missions in Europe and the Middle East, later served as a Russian policy officer. Won reelection three times.

Elissa Slotkin
Michigan 7th District
CIA Analyst | Three Iraq Tours
Won by 4 points in district Trump won by 7

A CIA analyst who briefed presidents and deployed to Iraq three times alongside military units, Slotkin flipped a rural Michigan district Obama lost twice. She held the seat for three terms before winning her 2024 Senate race. Career: Pentagon, State Dept, White House NSC.

2018 Blue Wave By The Numbers

50+
Veteran candidates recruited
41
House seats flipped
3-5 pts
Veteran overperformance vs. non-vets
218
Dem majority achieved

Without veteran candidates, Democrats don’t win the House in 2018. Period. The margins in swing districts were narrow enough that the 3-5 point veteran advantage was the difference between Speaker Pelosi and Speaker McCarthy.

The Electoral Advantage: Veterans vs. Non-Veterans

The data is overwhelming: In swing districts and states, veteran Democratic candidates outperform non-veteran Democrats with independents, moderates, and even soft Republicans. Here’s why they win:

Credibility on Security

Voters trust veterans on national security, military spending, and foreign policy—traditionally GOP strengths. This neutralizes Republican attacks and forces the campaign onto Democratic turf: healthcare, education, economy.

Service Over Politics

Military service signals sacrifice, patriotism, and duty—qualities independents value. Veterans can say “I served my country before I served my party” and voters believe it.

Harder to Attack

Negative ads questioning a veteran’s judgment, toughness, or patriotism backfire spectacularly. Republicans learned this the hard way in 2018 when attack ads on veteran Dems energized Democratic turnout.

Cross-Party Appeal

Veterans pull Trump voters who respect military service even when they disagree on policy. Gallego won 7-8% of Trump voters in Arizona. Slotkin held a Trump+7 district for three terms.

2024 Senate Performance: Veterans vs. Non-Veterans in Swing States

Candidate State Military Service Margin vs. Harris Result
Ruben Gallego Arizona Marine Corps, Iraq +8.0% WON
Elissa Slotkin Michigan CIA, three Iraq tours +0.3% WON
Tammy Baldwin Wisconsin None -0.8% WON (barely)
Jacky Rosen Nevada None -2.4% WON (barely)
Bob Casey Pennsylvania None -0.4% LOST

Pattern: Veteran Dems overperformed non-veteran Dems in every comparable swing state. Gallego’s +8% overperformance is the highest of any Senate candidate in 2024. Slotkin was the only Dem to flip a Senate seat.

The Warrior Democrat Strategy Works

From Fallujah to Phoenix, from helicopters over the Mediterranean to the halls of Congress, veteran Democrats have proven they can win the toughest races in America. They flip Trump districts. They hold swing seats. They outperform the top of the ticket.

The 2026 midterms are 18 months away. VoteVets is recruiting 100+ veteran candidates. The infrastructure is in place. The playbook is proven.

The question isn’t whether the Warrior Democrat strategy can work. The question is: Will Democratic party leaders, donors, and consultants invest in it at scale?